TRACKING THE GOLD AND SILVER INVESTMENT COMMUNITY, WORLDWIDE - AN UNOFFICIAL EDITING OF RELATED INVESTMENT COMMENTARY
Thursday, October 13, 2011
Jim Rogers tells it like it is!
Friday, October 7, 2011
The Chinese Mean To Control The Global Gold Market
Pan Asian will allow Chinese to speculate in gold futures contracts or buy physical gold through an account with a bank or broker. All 320 million customers of the giant Agricultural Bank of China will. simply be able to use their Renminbi, the Chinese currency, from their bank accounts to trade gold. Sounds bloody dangerous doesn’t it...
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Jim Sinclair - Why Gold?
Why Gold?
1. Gold is a currency.
2. Gold is competitive to paper currency.
3. Gold is not a commodity
4. Gold is a barometer of fear.
5. Gold is a barometer of confidence in government.
6. Gold is insurance.
7. Gold is insurance against government gone mad.
8. Insurance is not something you trade.
9. Gold is the financial high ground when global debt problems exist.
10. Gold in your hand eliminates all counter party risk.
11. Every single currency is paper backed by nothing.
Stay the course. Nothing is solved, nor will it be.
Gold will be violent. Gold is nowhere near fully priced.
Regards,
Jim Sinclair
Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Gold has formed a bottom at $1535
We now expect a bottom action to occur at or above today’s low of $1535. Today’s extreme sell off and hard rally action does make the possibility of a narrow bottom quite possible.
The drop from $1923.70 to $1535 has generated an impressive wall of resistance, but which could be overcome in relatively short order if gold generates a narrow V bottom followed by hard rally action. Even so, the bottom should be visibly resolved here within another 14 to 15 days at most ff we are to have a moderately fast or a fast return to a test of the recent high ($1923.70), and thereafter, higher highs.
Our internal figures remain long term bullish…
Saturday, September 24, 2011
Market Violence Will Create Large Bear Trap
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
China’s Gold Investment to Top Record: Cheng
The country’s investment demand surged 70 percent in 2010 to an all-time high of 187 tons, said Albert Cheng, the Far East managing director at the World Gold Council.
China’s “investment demand has picked up exponentially,” Cheng said yesterday in an interview in Montreal. “The financial crisis has triggered people to be cautious of anything they don’t understand,” boosting demand for bullion as an alternative asset.
Gold futures have surged 29 percent this year, touching a record $1,923.70 an ounce on Sept. 6. The metal climbed as escalating debt woes in Europe and the U.S. boosted demand for haven assets. India is the world’s top bullion buyer followed by China. The two countries accounted for 54 percent of world gold consumption in the second quarter, Cheng said.
The council has estimated demand from China may double in 10 years. The forecast may be “too conservative,” Cheng said.
Thursday, September 8, 2011
The Pan Asia Gold Exchange (PAGE) - This is Huge!
The Pan Asia Gold Exchange (PAGE)
The Pan Asia Gold Exchange (PAGE), backed by the Chinese Government, opens for business in the next few months and is expected to be fully operational by the end of 2011. This development represents an unprecedented challenge to the entrenched institutions that effect the price of gold and at the same time supports Beijing’s ambitions for world currency reserve status. In short, there is a new gold trading market in the wings with the potential to change global supply and demand dynamics and how gold can be traded.
Here’s the background:
PAGE will allow individuals to buy physical gold from their computer at home. Initially, the 200 million or so clients of Agriculture Bank of China will be able to buy 10-ounce mini contracts on the PAGE. Later, non-Chinese will be able to purchase International Spot Contracts through the exchange.
Ultimately, PAGE will provide an alternative playing field for global gold investors who hitherto have had to rely on unsecured gold futures contracts and the bullion banks to determine the price for gold. With PAGE, a gold buyer will be able to receive a 90-day International Spot Contract and actual title to the gold he/she buys, not just a futures contract or an unsecured note from a bullion bank, or an international banking institution. The PAGE gold’s in 10 ounce bars can be delivered to the customer with little effort. The international bullion banks, have been accused for years of manipulating the gold price. Such manipulation will now be more difficult.
PAGE could pose a challenge to the near monopoly on gold price discovery currently held by the members of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) that include many large banks.
For years, their practice has included leasing gold often from central banks and then selling it into the market to drive the price down. Leasing and selling of gold has been a profitable game for the savvy players involved. Every game has a loser, however, and in this case it has been less sophisticated gold investors. The selling activity has often created panic among gold investors who sell at the wrong time allowing the short sellers to buy back the bullion at low prices.
PAGE provides an alternative route that bypasses the bullion banks of the LBMA.
PAGE also provides a new way for international investors to own Chinese currency — the Renminbi (RMB). Here’s how: The buyers will purchase gold contracts denominated in RMB. They can then hedge out the gold in the dollar-based gold markets. As a result, they effectively own RMB.
We see here yet another example of multiple Beijing initiatives opening the RMB to world investors. Over time, these innovations will enhance the value of the RMB and create a deeper, more liquid foreign exchange presence for the Chinese currency. PAGE is another internationalization step forward for the RMB in the direction of world reserve currency status.
The advantages of being the world reserve currency, as well as the responsibilities involved, have not been lost in the Chinese government. They won’t rush the process, but they clearly have a long term plan.
Friday, September 2, 2011
John Embry interview with James Turk at GATA's Gold Rush 2011
They discuss Sinclair's $1,764 level and how the majority of observers still disparage gold, even if perception is slowly changing. They explain how the physical gold market is taking charge of gold price discovery and how strong physical demand will drive the price much higher.
They talk about how the price of gold will react in another market meltdown, similar to 2008, and whether there will be a sell-off. They conclude that this time the flight to safety will be more important than the rush for liquidity and that gold is uniquely placed to act as a safe haven, especially with T-bills and other traditional safe assets discredited by US debt issues.
John and James explain how important it is to own tangible asset that are free of counterparty risk. They also talk about some relatively safer currencies like the CAD, AUD and CHF, and conclude that, although better than the US dollar, they also have their flaws.
They talk about mining stocks and how undervalued they are. They mention key levels to watch in the XAU and HUI, as signals of a start to the mining stock rally. They move on to look at sovereign debt issues and how they expect other countries, like the UK, to suffer downgrades soon as well.
John also explains that China, despite its huge potential, is not without issues and he fully expects to see a lot of instability there.
This interview was recorded on August 5 2011 in London.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Bernanke is in no position to announce another round of QE
Politically Bernanke is in no position to announce another round of QE. If he were to try this route once again, a route which has obviously been an abject failure considering that between QE1 and QE2 over $2.5 TRILLION was spent with nothing to show for it except a collapsing Dollar and rampant inflation in energy and food prices, he would unleash a firestorm of protest here in the US and certainly abroad by our largest creditors, China in particular.
Friday, August 19, 2011
Mining Share Ratio To Gold Back At Pre-QE1 Levels
Jim Sinclair of JSMineSet.com
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Monday, August 8, 2011
Jim Sinclair interviewed by James Turk
Thursday, August 4, 2011
Jim Sinclair on CNN Your Money
Wednesday, July 27, 2011
The Cat is Out of the Bag, Gold to Soar, Dollar to Crash
There is no functional hedge against the downgrade of US Treasuries that is sure to come with or without a default except gold.
The cat is out of the bag. The political opposition can back the present administration into a corner on the most important issue, debt.
If that is the case with debt, then what else could they do it with?
To assume there will be a default is extreme, however within a week we will know. There are those in the political opposition that might go to any length to cripple the present administration.
The only conclusion that I can come to is that you should NOT take your gold hedges off. At $1764 a runaway gold bull market becomes an exponential run away gold bull market.
After $1754 Alf and Armstrong become the predictors of note for Gold at $3000 to $12,500.
Respectfully,
Jim Sinclair of JSMineSet.com
Thursday, July 7, 2011
The Die is Cast
Have you thought about all the dramatics now taking center stage in the media? What compromise will be adopted that will allow for the US to avoid default by raising the debt ceiling?
Raising the debt ceiling is the problem and not by at means a solution. The race between dropping revenues and increasing costs will not be settled by politicians that do not even understand the problem.
The resignations of key economic personalities in the present Administration is systematic of the solid nature of the downward spiral that has gripped Western finances since the failure of OTC derivatives turned a normal recession into a long term depression.
There is no event that will turn the tide of the ramifications for poor economic management. Nothing can stop Gold, Silver, the Swiss and the Cando now.
The present drama of tax increases and spending cuts, like the release of oil, means nothing whatsoever even in the medium term.
The damage is done as the damage is cumulative. Day to day events are irrelevant. Day to day market activity is interesting but meaningless.
The die is cast. All we can hope is that gold is not headed to $12,500.
Regards,
Jim Sinclair