So I think it will be a big year next year. These (metals) are both as sold out as I can remember and the sentiment gets worse and worse, if that’s possible. These are all precursors to a major move and I think it could get started quite quickly...."
TRACKING THE GOLD AND SILVER INVESTMENT COMMUNITY, WORLDWIDE - AN UNOFFICIAL EDITING OF RELATED INVESTMENT COMMENTARY
Friday, December 30, 2011
Embry - Physical Gold & Silver Tight Because of Eastern Buying
So I think it will be a big year next year. These (metals) are both as sold out as I can remember and the sentiment gets worse and worse, if that’s possible. These are all precursors to a major move and I think it could get started quite quickly...."
Thursday, December 22, 2011
The Bearish Gold Predictions Forget One Important Market Reality
What is good for the dollar is bad for gold.
This is wrong because it depend what dollar related factors are giving a positive dollar price action.
If the good for the dollar was strong US economic activity, sound balance sheets in the US financial industry and a US consumer ready and credit able to expand, the answer would be yes if these activities were for the long term
That strong dollar would not be good for gold.
However there is only one dollar positive out there. That is the largest currency market on the planet is the dollar vs. euro market in which the so called vigilantes (International Investment Banks) are shorting the euro to infinity. That downward pressure on the euro creates a mirror image of dollar strength but give that strength no greater legs than the euro problem posses.
What happens the third weeks post and euro settlement be that a changed euro or no euro.
There will be an end to the euro’s problems one way or another sometime sooner than later as that is the nature of failing euro hopes as today and fruitless euro financial programs as every proposal has been so far.
That process brings you closer to a crisis rather than further away. Even if there was a miracle that saved the euro at today’s price, the soap opera then ends.
Within three weeks from whatever date is the final act in the euro soap opera the US dollar will be the primary focus of the vigilantes via US dollar and long bonds.
There is enough knowledgeable money sources that know if any resolution is coming will begin to prepare for it. That preparation may be why at in this din of gold bearishness gold still may well be resolving the accordion chop.
So far on the unique studies done only by my dearest friend Kenny Adams and shared only with me, scream a clear refusal to confirm serious long term top indications.
If anyone will see the point of gold’s terminal overvaluation, it will be Kenny Adams and myself. That simply does not exist now nor is there full confirmation of the intermediate down with the depth so many are putting in their headlines.
Gold investors stand tall and stay committed. It is time for a glass of cold water and a long walk. Traders will be guided well now by the Angels.
Up to $1764 the Angel has and will continue to herald the market. After that and the gold price move goes in the 2000s things will be somewhat more difficult, if you can imagine more difficult.
Email or call me if you need me.
Respectfully,
Jim Sinclair
View here:
http://www.jsmineset.com/
Friday, December 9, 2011
Saturday, November 26, 2011
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Tuesday, November 15, 2011
Gold - Next Stop $4500
Thursday, November 3, 2011
With few options, Fed turns to 'jawboning'
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his fellow policymakers emerged from a two-day meeting to declare they planned no major changes in their policy of using low interest rates to get the job and housing markets back on track. In a statement, the Fed pointed to a recent improvement in the outlook but warned that the recovery is still very fragile.
"Economic growth strengthened somewhat in the third quarter," the Fed said in its post-meeting statement. "There are significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets."
- Read the full story here:
Friday, October 21, 2011
Monday, October 17, 2011
Thursday, October 13, 2011
Jim Rogers tells it like it is!
Friday, October 7, 2011
The Chinese Mean To Control The Global Gold Market
Pan Asian will allow Chinese to speculate in gold futures contracts or buy physical gold through an account with a bank or broker. All 320 million customers of the giant Agricultural Bank of China will. simply be able to use their Renminbi, the Chinese currency, from their bank accounts to trade gold. Sounds bloody dangerous doesn’t it...
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Jim Sinclair - Why Gold?
Why Gold?
1. Gold is a currency.
2. Gold is competitive to paper currency.
3. Gold is not a commodity
4. Gold is a barometer of fear.
5. Gold is a barometer of confidence in government.
6. Gold is insurance.
7. Gold is insurance against government gone mad.
8. Insurance is not something you trade.
9. Gold is the financial high ground when global debt problems exist.
10. Gold in your hand eliminates all counter party risk.
11. Every single currency is paper backed by nothing.
Stay the course. Nothing is solved, nor will it be.
Gold will be violent. Gold is nowhere near fully priced.
Regards,
Jim Sinclair
Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Gold has formed a bottom at $1535
We now expect a bottom action to occur at or above today’s low of $1535. Today’s extreme sell off and hard rally action does make the possibility of a narrow bottom quite possible.
The drop from $1923.70 to $1535 has generated an impressive wall of resistance, but which could be overcome in relatively short order if gold generates a narrow V bottom followed by hard rally action. Even so, the bottom should be visibly resolved here within another 14 to 15 days at most ff we are to have a moderately fast or a fast return to a test of the recent high ($1923.70), and thereafter, higher highs.
Our internal figures remain long term bullish…
Saturday, September 24, 2011
Market Violence Will Create Large Bear Trap
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
China’s Gold Investment to Top Record: Cheng
The country’s investment demand surged 70 percent in 2010 to an all-time high of 187 tons, said Albert Cheng, the Far East managing director at the World Gold Council.
China’s “investment demand has picked up exponentially,” Cheng said yesterday in an interview in Montreal. “The financial crisis has triggered people to be cautious of anything they don’t understand,” boosting demand for bullion as an alternative asset.
Gold futures have surged 29 percent this year, touching a record $1,923.70 an ounce on Sept. 6. The metal climbed as escalating debt woes in Europe and the U.S. boosted demand for haven assets. India is the world’s top bullion buyer followed by China. The two countries accounted for 54 percent of world gold consumption in the second quarter, Cheng said.
The council has estimated demand from China may double in 10 years. The forecast may be “too conservative,” Cheng said.
Thursday, September 8, 2011
The Pan Asia Gold Exchange (PAGE) - This is Huge!
The Pan Asia Gold Exchange (PAGE)
The Pan Asia Gold Exchange (PAGE), backed by the Chinese Government, opens for business in the next few months and is expected to be fully operational by the end of 2011. This development represents an unprecedented challenge to the entrenched institutions that effect the price of gold and at the same time supports Beijing’s ambitions for world currency reserve status. In short, there is a new gold trading market in the wings with the potential to change global supply and demand dynamics and how gold can be traded.
Here’s the background:
PAGE will allow individuals to buy physical gold from their computer at home. Initially, the 200 million or so clients of Agriculture Bank of China will be able to buy 10-ounce mini contracts on the PAGE. Later, non-Chinese will be able to purchase International Spot Contracts through the exchange.
Ultimately, PAGE will provide an alternative playing field for global gold investors who hitherto have had to rely on unsecured gold futures contracts and the bullion banks to determine the price for gold. With PAGE, a gold buyer will be able to receive a 90-day International Spot Contract and actual title to the gold he/she buys, not just a futures contract or an unsecured note from a bullion bank, or an international banking institution. The PAGE gold’s in 10 ounce bars can be delivered to the customer with little effort. The international bullion banks, have been accused for years of manipulating the gold price. Such manipulation will now be more difficult.
PAGE could pose a challenge to the near monopoly on gold price discovery currently held by the members of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) that include many large banks.
For years, their practice has included leasing gold often from central banks and then selling it into the market to drive the price down. Leasing and selling of gold has been a profitable game for the savvy players involved. Every game has a loser, however, and in this case it has been less sophisticated gold investors. The selling activity has often created panic among gold investors who sell at the wrong time allowing the short sellers to buy back the bullion at low prices.
PAGE provides an alternative route that bypasses the bullion banks of the LBMA.
PAGE also provides a new way for international investors to own Chinese currency — the Renminbi (RMB). Here’s how: The buyers will purchase gold contracts denominated in RMB. They can then hedge out the gold in the dollar-based gold markets. As a result, they effectively own RMB.
We see here yet another example of multiple Beijing initiatives opening the RMB to world investors. Over time, these innovations will enhance the value of the RMB and create a deeper, more liquid foreign exchange presence for the Chinese currency. PAGE is another internationalization step forward for the RMB in the direction of world reserve currency status.
The advantages of being the world reserve currency, as well as the responsibilities involved, have not been lost in the Chinese government. They won’t rush the process, but they clearly have a long term plan.
Friday, September 2, 2011
John Embry interview with James Turk at GATA's Gold Rush 2011
They discuss Sinclair's $1,764 level and how the majority of observers still disparage gold, even if perception is slowly changing. They explain how the physical gold market is taking charge of gold price discovery and how strong physical demand will drive the price much higher.
They talk about how the price of gold will react in another market meltdown, similar to 2008, and whether there will be a sell-off. They conclude that this time the flight to safety will be more important than the rush for liquidity and that gold is uniquely placed to act as a safe haven, especially with T-bills and other traditional safe assets discredited by US debt issues.
John and James explain how important it is to own tangible asset that are free of counterparty risk. They also talk about some relatively safer currencies like the CAD, AUD and CHF, and conclude that, although better than the US dollar, they also have their flaws.
They talk about mining stocks and how undervalued they are. They mention key levels to watch in the XAU and HUI, as signals of a start to the mining stock rally. They move on to look at sovereign debt issues and how they expect other countries, like the UK, to suffer downgrades soon as well.
John also explains that China, despite its huge potential, is not without issues and he fully expects to see a lot of instability there.
This interview was recorded on August 5 2011 in London.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Bernanke is in no position to announce another round of QE
Politically Bernanke is in no position to announce another round of QE. If he were to try this route once again, a route which has obviously been an abject failure considering that between QE1 and QE2 over $2.5 TRILLION was spent with nothing to show for it except a collapsing Dollar and rampant inflation in energy and food prices, he would unleash a firestorm of protest here in the US and certainly abroad by our largest creditors, China in particular.
Friday, August 19, 2011
Mining Share Ratio To Gold Back At Pre-QE1 Levels
Jim Sinclair of JSMineSet.com
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Monday, August 8, 2011
Jim Sinclair interviewed by James Turk
Thursday, August 4, 2011
Jim Sinclair on CNN Your Money
Wednesday, July 27, 2011
The Cat is Out of the Bag, Gold to Soar, Dollar to Crash
There is no functional hedge against the downgrade of US Treasuries that is sure to come with or without a default except gold.
The cat is out of the bag. The political opposition can back the present administration into a corner on the most important issue, debt.
If that is the case with debt, then what else could they do it with?
To assume there will be a default is extreme, however within a week we will know. There are those in the political opposition that might go to any length to cripple the present administration.
The only conclusion that I can come to is that you should NOT take your gold hedges off. At $1764 a runaway gold bull market becomes an exponential run away gold bull market.
After $1754 Alf and Armstrong become the predictors of note for Gold at $3000 to $12,500.
Respectfully,
Jim Sinclair of JSMineSet.com
Thursday, July 7, 2011
The Die is Cast
Have you thought about all the dramatics now taking center stage in the media? What compromise will be adopted that will allow for the US to avoid default by raising the debt ceiling?
Raising the debt ceiling is the problem and not by at means a solution. The race between dropping revenues and increasing costs will not be settled by politicians that do not even understand the problem.
The resignations of key economic personalities in the present Administration is systematic of the solid nature of the downward spiral that has gripped Western finances since the failure of OTC derivatives turned a normal recession into a long term depression.
There is no event that will turn the tide of the ramifications for poor economic management. Nothing can stop Gold, Silver, the Swiss and the Cando now.
The present drama of tax increases and spending cuts, like the release of oil, means nothing whatsoever even in the medium term.
The damage is done as the damage is cumulative. Day to day events are irrelevant. Day to day market activity is interesting but meaningless.
The die is cast. All we can hope is that gold is not headed to $12,500.
Regards,
Jim Sinclair
Tuesday, June 28, 2011
Saturday, June 18, 2011
Sinclair - You’re Out of Your Mind If You Sell Gold Assets Now
- Jim Sinclair, as interviewed by King World News
Read the full article here:
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/6/16_Sinclair_-_Youre_Out_of_Your_Mind_If_You_Sell_Gold_Assets_Now.html
Thursday, June 9, 2011
Gold to Exceed $12,500
- Jim Sinclair via a King World News Interview
Monday, May 30, 2011
China SAFE Reports Monetary Gold Holdings Increased By $11 Billion, Or 30%, In 2010, As Gross Foreign Financial Assets Pass $4 Trillion
- Read the full story at Zero Hedge, Here:
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/china-safe-reports-monetary-gold-holdings-increased-11-billion-or-30-2010-gross-foreign-fina
Thursday, May 26, 2011
The Mathematics Of Gold
Because gold is held by many central banks, once as a reserve currency but now as an inventory currency, it functions as a swing asset to balance the International Balance sheet of the US.
Central banks are sellers of dollars but still hold, by default, large dollar inventories.
China has hedged its dollar position 50% through commitments to long term dollar commercial agreements, pay in, mineral, and energy deals internationally. That is an act of pure genius.
We can assume other central banks still hold 90% of their reported dollar positions, on average unhedged by commercial obligation positions.
In crisis times, the US dollar price of gold ALWAYS seeks to balance the International Balance Sheet of the USA.
Therefore:
Take 90% of international US dollar debt less China and then add 50% of the US debt owned by China. Then divide that number by the ounces supposed to be owned by the US Treasury. The result is where gold wants to go.
In 1974 this gave me $900 gold. Now you do your homework, and submit your analysis to me. Do this, and I will give you Angels going to that price by a little known technique of Jesse Livermore that only works on gold after it has broken to a new high above all resistance.
Little by little I am passing on all that I have learned from Jesse through Bert to those that read every day in thanks for your support of me and mine.
- Jim Sinclair of JSMineSet.com
Monday, May 23, 2011
Don't Trade Gold. Accumulate it.
- James Turk, KWN Interview
Saturday, May 21, 2011
Friday, May 20, 2011
China Is Now Top Gold Bug
China's investment demand for gold more than doubled to 90.9 metric tons in the first three months of the year, outpacing India's modest rise to 85.6 tons, the World Gold Council said in its quarterly report on Thursday. China now accounts for 25% of gold investment demand, compared with India's 23%.
- Wall Street Journal
Thursday, May 19, 2011
Jim Sinclair - The View From The Bridge
The view from this bridge does not enjoinder confidence in the US dollar. It sees gold as a preferential storehouse of value rather than a currency of a spend thrift brute.
The view from this bridge sees traffic crossing it no longer from east to west, but now financially from west to east.
The safest place to be during hyperinflation is not in the midst of brutes, but amongst kind people.
In my opinion, the safest place to be is in Tanzania working, producing, giving employment and respect to the locals, working with the people for mutual best interests.
Times have changed. Change with them and prosper. If you choose to fight the change you will financially perish.
Respectfully from the bridge,
Jim
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
Peter Schiff - Mexican Central Bank Buys 100 Tons of Gold
“What surprises me is that more central banks aren’t buying even more gold. Central banks are loaded up with depreciating dollars, they need to buy gold instead. The crazy thing is that I’m even hearing talk about the US selling its gold to help fund its debts. That would be the worst thing we could do. The last thing we would want to sell is our gold, I mean if we sold that then that would be it, we would have nothing. The dollar would just become complete confetti.”
- Peter Schiff via King World News Interview
Read the full interview here:
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/5/17_Peter_Schiff_-_Silver_to_Take_Out_$50,_New_Shorts_are_Suckers.html
Monday, May 16, 2011
London Trader - Massive Asian Buying of Physical Gold & Silver
Read the full article here:
Sunday, May 15, 2011
Zimbabwe Says Days Of The US Dollar Are Numbered, Pushes For Gold-Backed Local Currency
Read the full story at Zero Hedge here:
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/zimbabwe-says-days-us-dollar-are-numbered-pushes-gold-backed-local-currency
Saturday, May 14, 2011
Louise Yamada - $5,200 Gold is Long-Term Channel Target
- Louise Yamada via a King World News Interview
Read the full interview here:
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/5/14_Louise_Yamada_-_$5,200_Gold_is_Long-Term_Channel_Target.html
Friday, May 13, 2011
Forbes: Return to Gold Standard Within Five Years
Read the full story here:
http://www.thenewamerican.com/economy/markets-mainmenu-45/7465-forbes-return-to-gold-standard-within-five-years
Thursday, May 12, 2011
Central Banks Purchase 127 Tons Of Gold In Q1
- Read the full Story at Zero Hedge, Here:
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/central-banks-purchase-127-tons-gold-q1